Kenya vs Gambiya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kenya v Gambiya — Team-Based Signals
Kenya vs Gambiya Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Kenya 1-3 Gambiya — Actual Match Statistics
Gambiya saw off Kenya 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
Our pre-match lean was Kenya at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Kenya had 53% of the ball to Gambiya's 47%, shots finished 20-9.
What was the final score of Kenya vs Gambiya?
Kenya 1-3 Gambiya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kenya vs Gambiya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kenya win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kenya 41%, draw 35%, Gambiya 24%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.