Mısır 2-0 Etiyopya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
76%
1.18
Draw
16%
5.28
Away
8%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
3.23
No
62%
1.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
3.33
2-3 Goals
36%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.33 — our 36% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
51%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
76%
Home Win
79%
-3.3pp
16%
Draw
15%
+0.6pp
8%
Away Win
5%
+2.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
27%
+11.0pp
62%
BTTS No
73%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mısır EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Etiyopya EU Bookmakers 8%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.94/0.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/0.58
+5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -98% / +150%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
9.0 Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mısır
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Etiyopya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.56 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
295 Passes 234
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Etiyopya Etiyopya 0-2 HT 0-2 Mısır Mısır DKE
08.09.2023 Mısır Mısır 1-0 HT 1-0 Etiyopya Etiyopya AFUK
09.06.2022 Etiyopya Etiyopya 2-0 HT 2-0 Mısır Mısır AFUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mısır
2-0
AWAY Etiyopya
67% Ball Possession 33%
20 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mısır vs Etiyopya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mısır got the better of Etiyopya 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Mısır as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mısır had 67% of the ball to Etiyopya's 33%, shots finished 20-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mısır had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mısır and 0.67 for Etiyopya.

What was the final score of Mısır vs Etiyopya?

Mısır 2-0 Etiyopya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mısır vs Etiyopya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mısır win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Mısır 76%, draw 16%, Etiyopya 8%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mısır), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mısır) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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