Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Seattle Sounders v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals
Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 2-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Portland Timbers
ABD
Seattle Sounders 1-0 Portland Timbers — Actual Match Statistics
Seattle Sounders squeezed past Portland Timbers 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Seattle Sounders had 51% of the ball to Portland Timbers's 49%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.16 to 0.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.00 for Portland Timbers.
What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers?
Seattle Sounders 1-0 Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Portland Timbers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 52%, draw 28%, Portland Timbers 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.