Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Houston Dynamo v Los Angeles FC — Team-Based Signals
Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
0-1
HT 0-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
4-0
HT 1-0
Los Angeles FC
ABD
3-1
HT 2-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
Houston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles FC — Actual Match Statistics
Houston Dynamo nicked a narrow win over Los Angeles FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Houston Dynamo found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Houston Dynamo had 59% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 41%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.61 to 0.69.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Houston Dynamo and 0.83 for Los Angeles FC.
What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC?
Houston Dynamo 1-0 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Los Angeles FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 38%, draw 28%, Los Angeles FC 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.