Grobina 0-1 Metta / LU Riga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 6 Jul 2025

📅06/07/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grobina EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 28%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -10%
0.96/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.86
-18% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.3 Crosses 18.8
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grobina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.64
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
280 Passes 351
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2025 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 0-1 Grobina Grobina LET
30.03.2025 Grobina Grobina 2-4 HT 2-2 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
20.10.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-1 Grobina Grobina LET
27.07.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-2 HT 0-2 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
25.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
13.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 3-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grobina
0-1
AWAY Metta / LU Riga
0.78 xG 0.42
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
392 Passes 169
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
38 Box Touches 12
32 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Grobina vs Metta / LU Riga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga squeezed past Grobina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Grobina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Grobina had 65% of the ball to Metta / LU Riga's 35%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.78 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metta / LU Riga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Grobina and 1.67 for Metta / LU Riga.

What was the final score of Grobina vs Metta / LU Riga?

Grobina 0-1 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - Virsliga on 06/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grobina vs Metta / LU Riga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grobina 43%, draw 24%, Metta / LU Riga 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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