Nijerya 1-0 Ruanda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 6 Sep 2025

📅06/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.59
Over 2.5
38%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.81
No
64%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
18%
4.52
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
69%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.5pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+2.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
32%
+4.8pp
64%
BTTS No
68%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nijerya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruanda EU Bookmakers 12%
-28% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.01/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.35/1.40
-59% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +65%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 76%
31.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.5 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nijerya
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Ruanda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.28 xG 0.44
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
231 Passes 185
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.03.2025 Ruanda Ruanda 0-2 HT 0-2 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
18.11.2024 Nijerya Nijerya 1-2 HT 0-0 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
10.09.2024 Ruanda Ruanda 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
16.06.2012 Nijerya Nijerya 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
29.02.2012 Ruanda Ruanda 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
05.06.2005 Ruanda Ruanda 1-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nijerya
1-0
AWAY Ruanda
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nijerya vs Ruanda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya squeezed past Ruanda 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nijerya as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nijerya had 60% of the ball to Ruanda's 40%, shots finished 18-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nijerya had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nijerya and 0.50 for Ruanda.

What was the final score of Nijerya vs Ruanda?

Nijerya 1-0 Ruanda in the World Cup Qualifiers on 06/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nijerya vs Ruanda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nijerya 63%, draw 25%, Ruanda 12%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nijerya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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