Ruanda 0-2 Nijerya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
47%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.14
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
5.14
6+ Goals
7%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
12%
X/1
14%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
17%
+8.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruanda EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijerya EU Bookmakers 58%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
0.03/2.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.93
-96% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -64%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruanda
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Nijerya
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
0.44 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
277 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
9 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2024 Nijerya Nijerya 1-2 HT 0-0 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
10.09.2024 Ruanda Ruanda 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
16.06.2012 Nijerya Nijerya 2-0 HT 1-0 Ruanda Ruanda AFUK
29.02.2012 Ruanda Ruanda 0-0 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
05.06.2005 Ruanda Ruanda 1-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya DKE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruanda
0-2
AWAY Nijerya
48% Ball Possession 52%
3 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
0 Passes 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ruanda vs Nijerya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nijerya got the better of Ruanda 2-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nijerya as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Ruanda had 48% of the ball to Nijerya's 52%, shots finished 3-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Ruanda and 0.80 for Nijerya.

What was the final score of Ruanda vs Nijerya?

Ruanda 0-2 Nijerya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruanda vs Nijerya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nijerya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ruanda 25%, draw 28%, Nijerya 47%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nijerya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nijerya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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