Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.46
Over 2.5
64%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
8.53
2-3 Goals
37%
2.38
4-5 Goals
30%
2.37
6+ Goals
15%
3.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.75
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.1
X/1
14%
4.18
X/2
10%
12.8
X/X
10%
8.48
2/1
7%
17.1
2/2
7%
7.73
2/X
7%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
19%
+5.9pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
25%
+10.7pp
64%
Over 2.5
75%
-10.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-7.9pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 21%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
2.24/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.66
+11% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
430 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 82%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
16.7 Crosses 17.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Austin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.93 xG 1.15
56% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
442 Passes 339
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Austin Austin 2-0 HT 2-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
25.09.2023 Austin Austin 3-3 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
23.04.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
30.05.2022 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-1 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
09.05.2022 Austin Austin 0-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
27.09.2021 Austin Austin 2-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles Galaxy
2-1
AWAY Austin
2.11 xG 1.02
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
377 Passes 340
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 34
7 Crosses 24
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles Galaxy nicked a narrow win over Austin 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Los Angeles Galaxy as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Los Angeles Galaxy had 52% of the ball to Austin's 48%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.11 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Los Angeles Galaxy and 1.33 for Austin.

What was the final score of Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin?

Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles Galaxy vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles Galaxy win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles Galaxy 53%, draw 25%, Austin 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles Galaxy) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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