San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Real Salt Lake — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
Real Salt Lake
ABD
3-1
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-2
HT 1-1
Real Salt Lake
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
3-4
HT 1-2
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake — Actual Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake nicked a narrow win over San Jose Earthquakes 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Real Salt Lake found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 43% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 57%, shots finished 6-14, expected goals 0.69 to 1.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.83 for Real Salt Lake.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?
San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Real Salt Lake?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 37%, draw 27%, Real Salt Lake 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.