Ballymena United 1-1 Glenavon FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.9
No
45%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
9%
18.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
10%
4.22
X/2
10%
7.83
X/X
19%
4.47
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.48
2/X
6%
15.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ballymena United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Glenavon FC EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.25/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.77
-22% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ballymena United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Glenavon FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
24.02.2026 Ballymena United Ballymena United 2-2 HT 1-1 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
03.01.2026 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
29.11.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
09.08.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
19.04.2025 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Ballymena United Ballymena United KİRL
30.12.2024 Ballymena United Ballymena United 0-2 HT 0-0 Glenavon FC Glenavon FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Ballymena United vs Glenavon FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ballymena United and Glenavon FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Glenavon FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ballymena United and 1.50 for Glenavon FC.

What was the final score of Ballymena United vs Glenavon FC?

Ballymena United 1-1 Glenavon FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ballymena United vs Glenavon FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ballymena United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ballymena United 40%, draw 33%, Glenavon FC 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ballymena United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballymena United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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