Larne FC 1-4 Coleraine FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.49
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
21.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.57
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
16%
5.1
X/2
8%
5.79
X/X
13%
4.05
2/1
9%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.33
2/X
7%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Coleraine FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%
1.48/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+9% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Coleraine FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2026 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRK
02.01.2026 Larne FC Larne FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
25.11.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
10.08.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
12.04.2025 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
15.03.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Coleraine FC Coleraine FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Coleraine FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coleraine FC cruised past Larne FC 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Larne FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Larne FC and 1.00 for Coleraine FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Coleraine FC?

Larne FC 1-4 Coleraine FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Coleraine FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 43%, draw 30%, Coleraine FC 28%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Larne FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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