Portadown FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.39
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.15 — our 28% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.22
1/2
7%
24.8
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
8%
6.22
X/2
16%
5.19
X/X
9%
4.92
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
21%
3.2
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.95
Value flag · 2/X at 12.95 — our 10% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
44%
Away Win
41%
+3.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Carrick Rangers EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.20/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.39
-7% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portadown FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carrick Rangers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
31.01.2026 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
22.11.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-2 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
11.10.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 1-0 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
05.04.2025 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers 4-1 HT 3-1 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
08.03.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
09.11.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Carrick Rangers Carrick Rangers KİRL
POST-MATCH Portadown FC vs Carrick Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portadown FC and Carrick Rangers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Carrick Rangers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carrick Rangers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Portadown FC and 1.67 for Carrick Rangers.

What was the final score of Portadown FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Portadown FC 1-1 Carrick Rangers in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portadown FC vs Carrick Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carrick Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Portadown FC 32%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Carrick Rangers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carrick Rangers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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