Dungannon Swifts 1-3 Linfield FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - Premier League, 7 Apr 2026

📅07/04/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.04
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
57%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
27%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.24
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.85
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
6%
9.58
X/2
19%
4.26
X/X
11%
5.75
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
26%
2.1
2/X
5%
14.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.85 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+1.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-2.9pp
57%
Away Win
55%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dungannon Swifts EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Linfield FC EU Bookmakers 60%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.26/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.93
+21% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dungannon Swifts
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Linfield FC
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
17.02.2026 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 1-4 HT 1-1 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
10.02.2026 Linfield FC Linfield FC 6-0 HT 2-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
10.08.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 3-0 HT 0-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
12.04.2025 Linfield FC Linfield FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts KİRL
24.03.2025 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-3 HT 0-2 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
17.12.2024 Dungannon Swifts Dungannon Swifts 0-1 HT 0-0 Linfield FC Linfield FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Linfield FC got the better of Dungannon Swifts 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Linfield FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Linfield FC led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dungannon Swifts and 3.17 for Linfield FC.

What was the final score of Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC?

Dungannon Swifts 1-3 Linfield FC in the North Ireland - Premier League on 07/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dungannon Swifts vs Linfield FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Linfield FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Dungannon Swifts 23%, draw 20%, Linfield FC 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Linfield FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Linfield FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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