Aarau 2-1 Stade Nyonnais — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.72
6+ Goals
14%
7.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.0pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.0pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.7pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aarau EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Nyonnais EU Bookmakers 15%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
2.08/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.94
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.4 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aarau
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.15 xG 1.43
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
310 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
43 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2026 Aarau Aarau 5-1 HT 5-1 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
20.02.2026 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-1 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
22.11.2025 Aarau Aarau 0-1 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
22.08.2025 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 4-5 HT 1-2 Aarau Aarau İSV2
24.01.2025 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais 1-2 HT 1-0 Aarau Aarau İSV2
25.10.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Nyonnais Stade Nyonnais İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aarau
2-1
AWAY Stade Nyonnais
1.36 xG 1.39
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
277 Passes 282
27 Box Touches 20
30 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau nicked a narrow win over Stade Nyonnais 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aarau had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Aarau and 1.33 for Stade Nyonnais.

What was the final score of Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Aarau 2-1 Stade Nyonnais in the Switzerland Challenge League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aarau vs Stade Nyonnais?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Aarau 62%, draw 19%, Stade Nyonnais 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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