Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Etoile Carouge v Neuchatel Xamax — Team-Based Signals
Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Etoile Carouge 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax — Actual Match Statistics
Neuchatel Xamax nicked a narrow win over Etoile Carouge 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 19% / 40% — and on the day Neuchatel Xamax made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 28-12, expected goals 2.35 to 1.18 — the balance of chances actually favoured Etoile Carouge.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neuchatel Xamax led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Etoile Carouge and 2.00 for Neuchatel Xamax.
What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?
Etoile Carouge 0-1 Neuchatel Xamax in the Switzerland Challenge League on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Neuchatel Xamax?
Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 41%, draw 19%, Neuchatel Xamax 40%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.