MTK Budapest 2-3 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 7 Aug 2026

📅07/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.87
6+ Goals
11%
8.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
2.01/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.33
+19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 81%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
16.9 Crosses 20.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Puskas FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.86 xG 1.37
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
432 Passes 266
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2026 Puskas FC Puskas FC 2-2 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
14.02.2026 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-2 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
25.10.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
06.04.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
30.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.08.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
2-3
AWAY Puskas FC
2.07 xG 3.29
17 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
479 Passes 342
25 Box Touches 40
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC nicked a narrow win over MTK Budapest 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Puskas FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 17-18, expected goals 2.07 to 3.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Puskas FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.33 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC?

MTK Budapest 2-3 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 07/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a MTK Budapest win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 38%, draw 24%, Puskas FC 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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