Puskas FC 2-2 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 15 May 2026

📅15/05/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.0pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.77/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.61
-15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
320 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
22.9 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puskas FC
3W-3D-0L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.18 xG 1.75
42% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
269 Passes 441
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.02.2026 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-2 HT 0-2 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
25.10.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
06.04.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
30.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.08.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
11.05.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-3 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puskas FC
2-2
AWAY MTK Budapest
2.52 xG 2.09
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
272 Passes 405
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
24 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puskas FC and MTK Budapest couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Puskas FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Puskas FC had 43% of the ball to MTK Budapest's 57%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 2.52 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Puskas FC and 0.83 for MTK Budapest.

What was the final score of Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Puskas FC 2-2 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 15/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puskas FC vs MTK Budapest?

Before kick-off our model rated a Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Puskas FC 44%, draw 24%, MTK Budapest 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puskas FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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