MTK Budapest 2-2 Puskas FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 14 Feb 2026

📅14/02/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
9.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.7pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MTK Budapest EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Puskas FC EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.92/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.14
+27% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +49%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
17.2 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Puskas FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.54 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
413 Passes 300
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
06.04.2025 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-1 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
30.11.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-1 HT 0-0 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.08.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 1-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
11.05.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-3 HT 1-3 Puskas FC Puskas FC MAC
18.02.2024 Puskas FC Puskas FC 6-1 HT 3-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
2-2
AWAY Puskas FC
1.78 xG 2.26
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
465 Passes 224
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MTK Budapest and Puskas FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 63% of the ball to Puskas FC's 37%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.78 to 2.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Puskas FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for MTK Budapest and 2.17 for Puskas FC.

What was the final score of MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC?

MTK Budapest 2-2 Puskas FC in the Hungary - NB I on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MTK Budapest vs Puskas FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Puskas FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 33%, draw 27%, Puskas FC 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Puskas FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Puskas FC) ✓ BTTS Yes
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