Paksi SE vs Diosgyor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paksi SE v Diosgyor — Team-Based Signals
Paksi SE vs Diosgyor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Paksi SE 1-2 Diosgyor — Actual Match Statistics
Diosgyor squeezed past Paksi SE 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Paksi SE carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Paksi SE had 50% of the ball to Diosgyor's 50%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.48 to 2.10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diosgyor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Paksi SE and 2.67 for Diosgyor.
What was the final score of Paksi SE vs Diosgyor?
Paksi SE 1-2 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 14/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paksi SE vs Diosgyor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Paksi SE 59%, draw 19%, Diosgyor 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.