Penybont 2-1 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 7 Oct 2025

📅07/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
12%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 33% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
+0.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
12%
Away Win
13%
-0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.6pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Penybont EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
2.03/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.55
+4% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
385 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penybont
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
08.08.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-1 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
21.03.2025 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-2 HT 1-1 Penybont Penybont GAL
01.02.2025 Penybont Penybont 0-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
03.12.2024 Penybont Penybont 1-0 HT 0-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
17.09.2024 Penybont Penybont 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GALLK
23.08.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Penybont Penybont GAL
POST-MATCH Penybont vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penybont squeezed past Haverfordwest County 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penybont as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Penybont had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Penybont and 0.17 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Penybont vs Haverfordwest County?

Penybont 2-1 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 07/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Penybont vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Penybont win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Penybont 66%, draw 21%, Haverfordwest County 12%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penybont) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penybont) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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