Orense 2-1 LDU Quito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY LDU Quito EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.45/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.33
+32% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
265 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
18.0 Crosses 16.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
2W-0D-4L
AWAY LDU Quito
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.52 xG 1.88
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
231 Passes 346
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 4-0 HT 2-0 Orense Orense EKV1
29.06.2025 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
02.03.2025 LDU Quito LDU Quito 4-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
06.10.2024 LDU Quito LDU Quito 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
20.04.2024 Orense Orense 1-0 HT 1-0 LDU Quito LDU Quito EKV1
23.09.2023 LDU Quito LDU Quito 1-0 HT 0-0 Orense Orense EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
2-1
AWAY LDU Quito
1.31 xG 1.41
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
216 Passes 310
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orense vs LDU Quito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orense squeezed past LDU Quito 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Orense had 42% of the ball to LDU Quito's 58%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.31 to 1.41.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orense and 2.00 for LDU Quito.

What was the final score of Orense vs LDU Quito?

Orense 2-1 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs LDU Quito?

Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Orense 31%, draw 26%, LDU Quito 42%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (LDU Quito), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LDU Quito) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
7 Dec 2025
01:00 Independiente Del Valle vs Libertad Analysis →
22:00 El Nacional vs Aucas Analysis →