Hajduk Split 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.78
Over 2.5
40%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 35% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.0pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 49%
-12% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
0.93/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.21
-28% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +32%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 82%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
16.4 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hajduk Split
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.65 xG 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
296 Passes 341
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.12.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
20.09.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
03.05.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
02.03.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
13.09.2024 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hajduk Split
1-3
AWAY Dinamo Zagreb
1.18 xG 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 7
313 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 25
32 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb saw off Hajduk Split 3-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hajduk Split had 54% of the ball to Dinamo Zagreb's 46%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.18 to 2.00.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hajduk Split and 1.33 for Dinamo Zagreb.

What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Hajduk Split 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs Dinamo Zagreb?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 27%, draw 27%, Dinamo Zagreb 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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