San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Antonio v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
San Antonio
USLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Phoenix Rising
USLP
San Antonio 2-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
San Antonio nicked a narrow win over Phoenix Rising 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had San Antonio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, San Antonio had 55% of the ball to Phoenix Rising's 45%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.73 to 1.74 — the balance of chances actually favoured Phoenix Rising.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Antonio and 1.67 for Phoenix Rising.
What was the final score of San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising?
San Antonio 2-1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 41%, draw 33%, Phoenix Rising 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.