San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Prediction — Model Probabilities
San Antonio v Phoenix Rising — Team-Based Signals
San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
San Antonio 2-1 Phoenix Rising — Actual Match Statistics
San Antonio came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Phoenix Rising 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had San Antonio as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 52%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 55% to 45% in San Antonio's favour, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.73 to 1.74 — by the quality of chances, Phoenix Rising deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Phoenix Rising led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for San Antonio against 1.67 for Phoenix Rising.
San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Result & Final Score
San Antonio 2 - 1 Phoenix Rising in the USL Championship on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
San Antonio vs Phoenix Rising Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a San Antonio win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Antonio 41%, draw 33%, Phoenix Rising 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Antonio), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.