El Paso Locomotive 2-2 Colorado Springs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.99
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 31% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
39%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Springs EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.26/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.47
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.6 Crosses 15.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.40 xG 1.13
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 Passes 263
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
01.06.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 0-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLKP
20.04.2025 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 1-1 HT 1-1 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
09.03.2025 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-2 HT 1-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
22.09.2024 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs USLP
05.05.2024 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
06.05.2023 Colorado Springs Colorado Springs 2-3 HT 0-2 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Paso Locomotive
2-2
AWAY Colorado Springs
1.93 xG 1.18
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
339 Passes 282
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 12
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Paso Locomotive and Colorado Springs couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was El Paso Locomotive at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, El Paso Locomotive had 53% of the ball to Colorado Springs's 47%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.93 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Springs led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 1.50 for Colorado Springs.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs?

El Paso Locomotive 2-2 Colorado Springs in the USL Championship on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Colorado Springs?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 45%, draw 23%, Colorado Springs 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✗ Under 2.5
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