Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Birmingham Legion v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Birmingham Legion
USLP
Birmingham Legion 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies squeezed past Birmingham Legion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Tampa Bay Rowdies found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Birmingham Legion had 51% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 49%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.36 to 2.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tampa Bay Rowdies's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Birmingham Legion and 2.00 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Birmingham Legion 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 39%, draw 23%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Birmingham Legion), BTTS Yes went the other way.