Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Birmingham Legion v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Birmingham Legion 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies shaded a tight game against Birmingham Legion 1-0 on the road. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The model refused to pick a side here (34% / 26% / 40%); Tampa Bay Rowdies picked one for it. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in Birmingham Legion's favour, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.36 to 2.10 — on chances created, Tampa Bay Rowdies won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birmingham Legion had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.17 a game for Birmingham Legion against 2.00 for Tampa Bay Rowdies.
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Result & Final Score
Birmingham Legion 0 - 1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Birmingham Legion vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 34%, draw 26%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.