Sacramento Republic 2-0 FC Tulsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 8 Mar 2026

📅08/03/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.59
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.31 — our 38% vs market 34.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sacramento Republic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Tulsa EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +20%
1.79/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.32
+4% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.0 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sacramento Republic
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.39 xG 0.77
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
361 Passes 210
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.06.2025 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
29.03.2025 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-0 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
23.06.2024 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
14.04.2024 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
30.04.2023 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa 1-1 HT 0-0 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic USLP
28.03.2022 Sacramento Republic Sacramento Republic 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Tulsa FC Tulsa USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sacramento Republic
2-0
AWAY FC Tulsa
0.71 xG 0.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
305 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Sacramento Republic beat FC Tulsa 2-0 in the USL Championship on 8 Mar 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

On the day, Sacramento Republic had 52% of the ball to FC Tulsa's 48%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.71 to 0.84.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sacramento Republic and 0.83 for FC Tulsa.

What was the final score of Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

Sacramento Republic 2-0 FC Tulsa in the USL Championship on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sacramento Republic vs FC Tulsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sacramento Republic win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sacramento Republic 47%, draw 26%, FC Tulsa 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sacramento Republic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sacramento Republic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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