Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Monterey Bay v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
Monterey Bay 0-1 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots squeezed past Monterey Bay 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day Oakland Roots made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Monterey Bay had 39% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 61%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.35 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monterey Bay.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.33 for Oakland Roots.
What was the final score of Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots?
Monterey Bay 0-1 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots?
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 38%, draw 24%, Oakland Roots 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.