Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots Prediction — Model Probabilities
Monterey Bay v Oakland Roots — Team-Based Signals
Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Monterey Bay 0-1 Oakland Roots — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots squeezed past Monterey Bay 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
From a near-even 36% / 28% / 36% read, it was Oakland Roots who turned the coin-flip their way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.
The match data tells the story: Monterey Bay had 39% of the ball to Oakland Roots's 61%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.35 — by the quality of chances, Monterey Bay deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monterey Bay and 1.33 for Oakland Roots.
Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots Result & Final Score
Monterey Bay 0 - 1 Oakland Roots in the USL Championship on 08/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Monterey Bay vs Oakland Roots Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Monterey Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Monterey Bay 36%, draw 28%, Oakland Roots 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.