Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Oakland Roots v Monterey Bay — Team-Based Signals
Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Monterey Bay
USLP
1-3
HT 1-2
Oakland Roots
USLP
Oakland Roots 1-0 Monterey Bay — Actual Match Statistics
Oakland Roots edged past Monterey Bay 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oakland Roots as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Oakland Roots had 60% of the ball to Monterey Bay's 40%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.49 to 1.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monterey Bay.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monterey Bay led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oakland Roots and 1.67 for Monterey Bay.
What was the final score of Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?
Oakland Roots 1-0 Monterey Bay in the USL Championship on 31/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Oakland Roots vs Monterey Bay?
Before kick-off our model rated a Oakland Roots win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oakland Roots 43%, draw 25%, Monterey Bay 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oakland Roots) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.