Pescara 1-1 Spezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.39
No
39%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.59
2-3 Goals
38%
2.01
4-5 Goals
28%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.8
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
5%
11.75
X/1
16%
5.49
X/2
8%
7.22
X/X
13%
5.92
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.75
2/2
14%
4.29
2/X
7%
12.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.75 — our 13% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-6.8pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pescara EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Spezia EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -17%
1.68/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.53
+28% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
13.2 Crosses 21.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pescara
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Spezia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.76 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
311 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
27.12.2025 Spezia Spezia 2-1 HT 1-1 Pescara Pescara İTB
04.03.2020 Spezia Spezia 2-0 HT 0-0 Pescara Pescara İTB
19.10.2019 Pescara Pescara 1-2 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
03.03.2019 Pescara Pescara 2-0 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
19.10.2018 Spezia Spezia 1-3 HT 1-2 Pescara Pescara İTB
22.04.2018 Pescara Pescara 3-2 HT 2-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pescara
1-1
AWAY Spezia
1.13 xG 1.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
371 Passes 207
79% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Box Touches 17
6 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pescara vs Spezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pescara and Spezia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pescara at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Pescara had 60% of the ball to Spezia's 40%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.13 to 1.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pescara and 1.50 for Spezia.

What was the final score of Pescara vs Spezia?

Pescara 1-1 Spezia in the Italy - Serie B on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pescara vs Spezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pescara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pescara 47%, draw 25%, Spezia 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Pescara), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pescara) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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