Südtirol 1-1 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
20%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.08
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1
25%
3.88
X/2
7%
10.4
X/X
12%
4.67
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
7%
9.19
2/X
7%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-2.4pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 21%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.09/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.44
-53% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.0 Crosses 14.9
6.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.87 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
198 Passes 309
67% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.12.2025 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
27.04.2025 Südtirol Südtirol 2-0 HT 1-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
06.12.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 2-1 HT 1-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-1
AWAY Juve Stabia
2.72 xG 0.58
42% Ball Possession 58%
24 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
262 Passes 434
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
65 Box Touches 7
38 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol and Juve Stabia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Südtirol at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Südtirol had 42% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 58%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.72 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Juve Stabia led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 1.00 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Juve Stabia?

Südtirol 1-1 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 56%, draw 24%, Juve Stabia 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Südtirol), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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