Catanzaro 2-3 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.0
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 32% vs market 26.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.94
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
9%
12.35
X/1
13%
6.94
X/2
12%
5.2
X/X
14%
4.13
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
15%
3.11
2/X
8%
11.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-8.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.36/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.40
+21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
17.1 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
418 Passes 333
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.12.2025 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-2 HT 0-1 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
06.04.2025 Catanzaro Catanzaro 3-3 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
18.10.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
27.02.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
24.09.2023 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.03.2022 Catanzaro Catanzaro 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
2-3
AWAY FC Bari 1908
2.05 xG 1.00
75% Ball Possession 25%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 0
535 Passes 134
90% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 nicked a narrow win over Catanzaro 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day FC Bari 1908 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Catanzaro had 75% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 25%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 2.05 to 1.00 — the balance of chances actually favoured Catanzaro.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catanzaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Catanzaro and 1.50 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908?

Catanzaro 2-3 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 36%, draw 31%, FC Bari 1908 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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