Venezia 2-0 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
10%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.83
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.35
X/1
20%
4.1
X/2
9%
11.75
X/X
9%
6.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
20.0
2/2
6%
9.02
2/X
7%
17.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
62%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.7pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.1pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 21%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.00/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.55
+26% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
20.2 Crosses 17.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Palermo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.23 xG 1.22
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
340 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2025 Palermo Palermo 0-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
24.05.2024 Venezia Venezia 2-1 HT 2-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
20.05.2024 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
15.03.2024 Palermo Palermo 0-3 HT 0-2 Venezia Venezia İTB
26.09.2023 Venezia Venezia 1-3 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
15.04.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-0
AWAY Palermo
2.57 xG 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
418 Passes 230
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
33 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia saw off Palermo 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Venezia had 62% of the ball to Palermo's 38%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.57 to 1.33.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Venezia and 1.00 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Palermo?

Venezia 2-0 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Venezia 58%, draw 23%, Palermo 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Venezia) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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