Reggiana 1-0 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 8 May 2026

📅08/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.8
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.8 — our 33% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.81
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
11%
6.53
X/2
9%
5.02
X/X
10%
4.16
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
28%
3.19
2/X
10%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.05/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.13
+2% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
16.1 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.26 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
269 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.12.2025 Sampdoria Sampdoria 2-1 HT 1-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
16.03.2025 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 1-0 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
24.08.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
05.05.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 1-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
16.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-1 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
1-0
AWAY Sampdoria
0.86 xG 0.71
32% Ball Possession 68%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
225 Passes 551
78% Pass Accuracy 89%
23 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Sampdoria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana squeezed past Sampdoria 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Sampdoria at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Reggiana had 32% of the ball to Sampdoria's 68%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 0.86 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sampdoria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Reggiana and 1.40 for Sampdoria.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Sampdoria?

Reggiana 1-0 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 08/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Sampdoria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 26%, draw 28%, Sampdoria 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sampdoria) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sampdoria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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