Crawley Town vs AFC Wimbledon Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Crawley Town v AFC Wimbledon — Team-Based Signals
Crawley Town vs AFC Wimbledon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-2
AFC Wimbledon
İN2
0-1
HT 0-1
Crawley Town
İN2
3-2
HT 1-0
Crawley Town
İNTK
0-2
HT 0-2
AFC Wimbledon
İN2
1-2
HT 1-1
Crawley Town
FAK
Crawley Town 3-4 AFC Wimbledon — Actual Match Statistics
AFC Wimbledon nicked a narrow win over Crawley Town 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; AFC Wimbledon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Crawley Town had 68% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 32%, shots finished 20-22, expected goals 2.14 to 2.64.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Crawley Town and 1.33 for AFC Wimbledon.
What was the final score of Crawley Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Crawley Town 3-4 AFC Wimbledon in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Crawley Town vs AFC Wimbledon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Crawley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Crawley Town 40%, draw 26%, AFC Wimbledon 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Crawley Town) went the other way.