Shrewsbury 0-4 Birmingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Futbol League Cup, 8 Oct 2024

📅08/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.09
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.3
2-3 Goals
43%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
17%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
17%
+10.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.9pp
50%
Away Win
62%
-11.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham EU Bookmakers 66%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
228 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 449 · 83%
4.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Birmingham
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28% Ball Possession 72%
5 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Birmingham Birmingham HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-4
AWAY Birmingham
1.73 xG 2.97
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 6
204 Passes 603
75% Pass Accuracy 89%
12 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Birmingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham ran out comfortable winners over Shrewsbury 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Birmingham as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 29% of the ball to Birmingham's 71%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.73 to 2.97.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Birmingham?

Shrewsbury 0-4 Birmingham in the England - Futbol League Cup on 08/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Birmingham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birmingham win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 27%, draw 22%, Birmingham 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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