UCAM Murcia 1-1 Orihuela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 9 Feb 2025

📅09/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Orihuela EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.07/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.68
-23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +94%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Orihuela
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
29.09.2024 Orihuela Orihuela 0-1 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
28.01.2024 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-2 HT 0-0 Orihuela Orihuela İS4
17.09.2023 Orihuela Orihuela 1-1 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
1-1
AWAY Orihuela
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia and Orihuela shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was UCAM Murcia at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 52% of the ball to Orihuela's 48%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for UCAM Murcia and 1.00 for Orihuela.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela?

UCAM Murcia 1-1 Orihuela in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 09/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 45%, draw 29%, Orihuela 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (UCAM Murcia), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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