Toronto FC 2-4 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
3.87
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
62%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.59
Over 2.5
67%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.44
2-3 Goals
34%
1.99
4-5 Goals
28%
2.54
6+ Goals
18%
5.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
6.7
1/2
5%
18.65
1/X
5%
15.05
X/1
8%
9.83
X/2
10%
4.47
X/X
7%
6.72
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2 EV+ ✓
46%
2.03
2/X
9%
13.9
Value flag · 2/2 at 2.03 — our 46% vs market 41.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
22%
-4.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.5pp
62%
Away Win
57%
+5.1pp
33%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.7pp
67%
Over 2.5
65%
+1.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.9pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 61%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.15/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.41
+14% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -29%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
13.8 Crosses 12.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Inter Miami
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.20 xG 1.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 504
86% Pass Accuracy 87%
21 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2025 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
07.04.2025 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-1 HT 1-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
05.10.2024 Toronto FC Toronto FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
09.08.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-3 HT 3-2 Toronto FC Toronto FC CONLK
18.07.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-1 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
21.09.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toronto FC
2-4
AWAY Inter Miami
0.81 xG 1.77
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 505
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Toronto FC vs Inter Miami
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Inter Miami beat Toronto FC 4-2 away from home in the USA - Major League on 9 May 2026. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 67% and both teams to score was favoured at 62%.

On the day, Toronto FC had 40% of the ball to Inter Miami's 60%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.81 to 1.77.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami lead the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Toronto FC and 2.33 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?

Toronto FC 2-4 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 18%, draw 21%, Inter Miami 62%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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