CF Montreal 2-0 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.37
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.57
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
18%
4.82
X/2
9%
7.55
X/X
9%
5.68
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.0
2/2
12%
5.1
2/X
5%
13.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +17%
1.73/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.66
-9% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.4 Crosses 14.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Orlando City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
432 Passes 393
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 2-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
13.07.2025 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
20.04.2025 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
27.07.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 4-1 HT 3-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal CONLK
21.04.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
25.02.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
2-0
AWAY Orlando City
2.31 xG 0.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
23 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 3
370 Passes 339
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
35 Box Touches 11
36 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal beat Orlando City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CF Montreal as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CF Montreal had 53% of the ball to Orlando City's 47%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 2.31 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CF Montreal and 1.50 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Orlando City?

CF Montreal 2-0 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 50%, draw 22%, Orlando City 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CF Montreal) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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