Augsburg 3-1 Mönchengladbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.41
No
41%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.58
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
25%
2.51
6+ Goals
12%
5.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.51
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.15
X/1
16%
5.12
X/2
11%
7.93
X/X
11%
6.1
2/1
7%
19.85
2/2
10%
4.92
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
49%
+0.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
67%
-8.2pp
41%
BTTS No
33%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Augsburg EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mönchengladbach EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.58/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.92
-26% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
20.8 Crosses 14.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Augsburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Mönchengladbach
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.45 xG 1.91
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
339 Passes 479
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
24 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2026 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 4-0 HT 3-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
22.02.2025 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 0-3 HT 0-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
04.10.2024 Augsburg Augsburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
21.01.2024 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 1-2 HT 1-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
19.08.2023 Augsburg Augsburg 4-4 HT 3-3 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach AL1
27.05.2023 Mönchengladbach Mönchengladbach 2-0 HT 2-0 Augsburg Augsburg AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Augsburg
3-1
AWAY Mönchengladbach
2.59 xG 1.14
37% Ball Possession 63%
15 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
223 Passes 460
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Augsburg vs Mönchengladbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Augsburg saw off Mönchengladbach 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Augsburg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Augsburg had 37% of the ball to Mönchengladbach's 63%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.59 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Augsburg and 2.00 for Mönchengladbach.

What was the final score of Augsburg vs Mönchengladbach?

Augsburg 3-1 Mönchengladbach in the Germany - Bundesliga on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Mönchengladbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 49%, draw 21%, Mönchengladbach 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Augsburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Augsburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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