Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.65
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
64%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
4.58
Over 2.5
63%
1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.32
No
45%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
10.15
2-3 Goals
34%
2.59
4-5 Goals
27%
2.25
6+ Goals
17%
3.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
7.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
15.15
1/X
8%
16.2
X/1
8%
12.4
X/2
12%
4.66
X/X
6%
9.19
2/1
3%
34.0
2/2
44%
1.74
2/X
5%
14.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 15.15 — our 8% vs market 3.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.3pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.1pp
64%
Away Win
64%
+0.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
18%
+18.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
82%
-18.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
72%
-16.5pp
45%
BTTS No
28%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 69%
-10% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +17%
1.23/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.33
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -24%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 476 · 84%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.7
18.2 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wolfsburg
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Bayern Münih
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
1.10 xG 2.07
37% Ball Possession 63%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
314 Passes 579
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2026 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 8-1 HT 2-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
18.01.2025 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 3-2 HT 2-1 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
25.08.2024 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-3 HT 0-1 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
12.05.2024 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-0 HT 2-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
20.12.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
05.02.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-4 HT 1-3 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wolfsburg
0-1
AWAY Bayern Münih
3.04 xG 1.85
31% Ball Possession 69%
17 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 3
257 Passes 690
77% Pass Accuracy 90%
30 Box Touches 44
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wolfsburg vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih edged past Wolfsburg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wolfsburg had 31% of the ball to Bayern Münih's 69%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 3.04 to 1.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wolfsburg.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Wolfsburg and 3.67 for Bayern Münih.

What was the final score of Wolfsburg vs Bayern Münih?

Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern Münih in the Germany - Bundesliga on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wolfsburg vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Wolfsburg 18%, draw 18%, Bayern Münih 64%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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