Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 Hajduk Split — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 9 May 2026

📅09/05/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.66
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.71
6+ Goals
12%
7.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
56%
-1.2pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Zagreb EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Hajduk Split EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.15/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.08
+1% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 80%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
20.5 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hajduk Split
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.82 xG 0.69
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 308
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.03.2026 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 1-3 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
06.12.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 1-1 HT 0-0 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
20.09.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 0-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
03.05.2025 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-3 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
02.03.2025 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 2-2 HT 1-1 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split HIR
01.12.2024 Hajduk Split Hajduk Split 1-0 HT 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Zagreb
2-0
AWAY Hajduk Split
2.53 xG 0.26
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
471 Passes 366
90% Pass Accuracy 85%
29 Box Touches 12
11 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Zagreb got the better of Hajduk Split 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dinamo Zagreb had 55% of the ball to Hajduk Split's 45%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.53 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dinamo Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.00 for Hajduk Split.

What was the final score of Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Dinamo Zagreb 2-0 Hajduk Split in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 09/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Zagreb vs Hajduk Split?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Zagreb 55%, draw 21%, Hajduk Split 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Zagreb) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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