Güney Afrika 1-1 Nijerya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 9 Sep 2025

📅09/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
36%
2.77
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
6.46
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
15%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.6pp
36%
Draw
33%
+3.1pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Güney Afrika EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nijerya EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.77/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.53
-35% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +132%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
18.8 Crosses 13.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Güney Afrika
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Nijerya
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.12 xG 1.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
417 Passes 314
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 29
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2024 Nijerya Nijerya 1-1 HT 0-1 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika DKE
07.02.2024 Nijerya Nijerya 1-1 HT 0-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
10.07.2019 Nijerya Nijerya 2-1 HT 1-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
17.11.2018 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-1 HT 1-1 Nijerya Nijerya AFUK
10.06.2017 Nijerya Nijerya 0-2 HT 0-0 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika AFUK
29.03.2015 Güney Afrika Güney Afrika 1-1 HT 0-0 Nijerya Nijerya HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Güney Afrika
1-1
AWAY Nijerya
0.23 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
292 Passes 244
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Güney Afrika vs Nijerya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Güney Afrika and Nijerya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 36% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%) came in.

On the day, Güney Afrika had 54% of the ball to Nijerya's 46%, shots finished 5-5, expected goals 0.23 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Güney Afrika and 1.00 for Nijerya.

What was the final score of Güney Afrika vs Nijerya?

Güney Afrika 1-1 Nijerya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 09/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Güney Afrika vs Nijerya?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Güney Afrika 31%, draw 36%, Nijerya 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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