Newcastle United 2-2 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Jan 2026

Newcastle United
2 - 2 HT 0 - 0 AET 3-3 · Pen 7-6
Bournemouth
📅10/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.09
Away
20%
4.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under
31%
2.53
Over Pick
69%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.43
Total Goals
0-1
14%
6.01
2-3
42%
2.09
4-5
32%
2.52
6+
12%
5.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1.98
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.25
X/1
18%
4.56
X/2
8%
10.8
X/X
10%
7.15
2/1
4%
18.65
2/2
11%
7.29
2/X
4%
15.55
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Newcastle United The Market 64%
Signal
AWAY Bournemouth The Market 24%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
2.26 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.06
0.94 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.98
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Great
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20 Crosses
2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle United
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Bournemouth
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.12 xG 1.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
370 Passes 265
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
18.01.2025 Newcastle United Newcastle United 1-4 HT 1-2 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
25.08.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
17.02.2024 Newcastle United Newcastle United 2-2 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
11.11.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 2-0 HT 0-0 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
11.02.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-1 Newcastle United Newcastle United İNP
REVIEW Newcastle United vs Bournemouth
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Newcastle United and Bournemouth shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newcastle United at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (61%) landed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Newcastle United and 1.67 for Bournemouth.

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Result & Final Score

Newcastle United 2 - 2 Bournemouth in the England - FA Cup on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Newcastle United vs Bournemouth Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United 61%, draw 19%, Bournemouth 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Newcastle United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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