Colorado Rapids 0-1 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.56
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.62
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
20%
4.97
X/2
9%
7.5
X/X
13%
5.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.05
2/2
13%
4.93
2/X
6%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 10% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.62/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.51
-1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
20.9 Crosses 15.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colorado Rapids
3W-2D-1L
AWAY St. Louis City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.72 xG 1.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 Passes 328
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2025 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
23.02.2025 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-0 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
08.07.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-1 HT 2-1 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
20.06.2024 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-3 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
02.07.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 2-0 HT 2-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
23.04.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
0-1
AWAY St. Louis City
1.33 xG 1.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
359 Passes 282
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis City edged past Colorado Rapids 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Colorado Rapids at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 56% of the ball to St. Louis City's 44%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.33 to 1.94.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Colorado Rapids had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Colorado Rapids and 0.67 for St. Louis City.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?

Colorado Rapids 0-1 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colorado Rapids win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 46%, draw 25%, St. Louis City 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Colorado Rapids) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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