New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New England Revolution v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
3-1
HT 3-0
New England Revolution
ABD
New England Revolution 2-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
New England Revolution nicked a narrow win over Philadelphia Union 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; New England Revolution found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, New England Revolution had 61% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 39%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.05 to 1.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for New England Revolution and 2.50 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
New England Revolution 2-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 37%, draw 31%, Philadelphia Union 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.