Nashville SC vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Nashville SC v DC United — Team-Based Signals
Nashville SC vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
DC United
ABD
Nashville SC 2-2 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
Nashville SC and DC United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Nashville SC at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Nashville SC had 74% of the ball to DC United's 26%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.02 to 1.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nashville SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nashville SC and 1.33 for DC United.
What was the final score of Nashville SC vs DC United?
Nashville SC 2-2 DC United in the USA - Major League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs DC United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 55%, draw 22%, DC United 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nashville SC) went the other way.