FC Dallas 3-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
22%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.86 — our 28% vs market 15.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.0
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.3
X/1
9%
5.46
X/2
15%
6.63
X/X
12%
5.75
2/1
8%
21.8
2/2
10%
4.04
2/X
9%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.7pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.45/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.94
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
344 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 84%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
14.9 Crosses 15.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.70 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
371 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2025 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
23.03.2025 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
19.09.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-2 HT 2-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
26.05.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 3-3 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
21.09.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-3 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
16.04.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
3-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.05 xG 0.59
27% Ball Possession 73%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 7
178 Passes 580
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 33
7 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Dallas saw off Real Salt Lake 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Dallas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 27% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 73%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 2.05 to 0.59.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Dallas and 1.50 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?

FC Dallas 3-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Dallas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 41%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Dallas), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Dallas) ✓ BTTS Yes
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