Charlotte 2-2 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 10 May 2026

📅10/05/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.1
2-3 Goals
36%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.6
6+ Goals
14%
6.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.9
1/2
5%
26.0
1/X
5%
12.1
X/1
12%
5.44
X/2
11%
6.89
X/X
16%
5.81
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.3
2/2
12%
4.19
2/X
5%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.3 — our 8% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.0pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +2%
1.40/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.65
-7% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
17.5 Crosses 11.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.84
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
357 Passes 377
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 30
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2025 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
16.03.2025 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
14.07.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-3 HT 1-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
31.03.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.09.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
09.07.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-2
AWAY FC Cincinnati
2.01 xG 1.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
453 Passes 529
90% Pass Accuracy 91%
29 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte and FC Cincinnati shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Charlotte at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Charlotte had 47% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 53%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.01 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charlotte and 1.17 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?

Charlotte 2-2 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 46%, draw 26%, FC Cincinnati 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Charlotte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
10 May 2026
02:30 New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis →
03:30 FC Dallas vs Real Salt Lake Analysis →
04:15 Nashville SC vs DC United Analysis →
04:30 Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City Analysis →
05:30 San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis →