San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v Vancouver Whitecaps — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes and Vancouver Whitecaps shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 29% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 71%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.02 to 2.23.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.50 for Vancouver Whitecaps.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 10/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs Vancouver Whitecaps?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 39%, draw 24%, Vancouver Whitecaps 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes), Over 2.5 went the other way.