Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vancouver Whitecaps v San Jose Earthquakes — Team-Based Signals
Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
2-1
HT 0-1
Vancouver Whitecaps
ABD
Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes nicked a narrow win over Vancouver Whitecaps 1-0 away from home.
This one beat our numbers. Vancouver Whitecaps carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 61% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 39%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.21 to 0.66 — on chances, Vancouver Whitecaps could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 1.00 for San Jose Earthquakes.
What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 22/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 58%, draw 20%, San Jose Earthquakes 22%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.